Iranian leaders don’t want to be suckered into the sort of October — or July — surprise that would generate a rally-round-the-flag effect in America and could rescue Donald Trump’s fading re-election chances, although they realize the restraint does risk making them appear weak.Although the current war has not been formally declared, it ought to be assessed by the same standards as one that has. It is war. Soleimani built a network of proxies, notably Hezbollah in Lebanon, which now dominates that country's politics. In Africa, rebel groups have a foothold in Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Somalia, Kenya, Sudan, the Central African Republic. That is not the current circumstance with Iran. The strike may temporarily bolster the political fortunes of the two beleaguered architects of the assassination, Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but it is an act of imperial suicide by the United States.

The hundreds of thousands of dead and maimed, including at least 200,000 civilians, and the millions driven from their homes into displacement and refugee camps cannot, they insist, be the result of our failed and misguided policies. This is not a set of actions “short of war,” as some would put it. And it would not be Netanyahu’s job to count any ensuing American casualties.The fact that two of the three contenders for the top-spot on the committee opposed the Iran nuclear deal signals that there is a lot at stake.If Joe Biden wins in November, there may not be much time to repair the damage Donald Trump has done.The catastrophic explosion in Beirut’s port is a manifestation of the Lebanese political elite’s predation and dysfunction.

Certain statements by President Erdogan suggested that he has immense aspirations for Turkey, aspirations which might include nuclear ambitions.The state of the relationship between the U.S. and Turkey has decayed to the extent that some fear for the future of the NATO alliance. In fact, that war might have already begun. As Mark Fitzpatrick of the International Institute of Strategic Studies The attacks also do nothing to deter aggressive or otherwise undesirable Iranian actions. They believe a new war would divert attention from their foreign and domestic crises.

Since seizing power in the 1979 revolution, Iran's clerical regime has withstood war, revolt and crippling economic sanctions.Iran would not capitulate as quickly as Saddam's Iraq or Gaddafi's Libya. It turned out to be nothing of the sort, but if North Korea decides to undertake an ICBM or (worse) nuclear test, the Trump administration might feel the need to intervene forcefully. 'Vigorous revenge' vowed against US after it kills head of elite Quds Force in air strikeAmerica and Iran are teetering on the brink of war. He successfully emulated the Hezbollah model in Syria and Iraq.Yet Soleimani also saw the emerging backlash: mass protests across Lebanon and Iraq calling for an end to sectarianism and chanting "Iran out". Economic difficulties in China have curtailed some of its naval construction program, just as a flattening of the defense budget in the United States has moderated shipbuilding ambitions. The existing mayhem, violence, failed states and war, the result of nearly two decades of U.S. blunders and miscalculations in the region, will become an even wider and more dangerous conflagration. Since seizing power in the 1979 revolution, Iran's clerical regime has withstood war, revolt and crippling economic sanctions. Let us hope for a miracle to pull us back from this Dr. Strangelove self-immolation.Iran, which has vowed "harsh retaliation," is already reeling under the crippling economic sanctions imposed by the Trump administration when it unilaterally withdrew in 2018 from the Iranian nuclear arms deal.

Hints dropped publicly about pre-empting a supposedly imminent Iranian attack never led to any evidence to that effect.

Yemen after five years of unrelenting Saudi airstrikes and a blockade is enduring one of the world's worst humanitarian disasters. It will activate Iranian-backed militias and insurgents in Lebanon and Syria and throughout the Middle East. That's not something that would appeal to America either. According to Mr Hamilton-Parker, a devastating conflict will ravage the Middle East between 2020 and 2021. It is a far more significant moment than the killing of bin Laden or IS leader Abu Bakhar al-Baghdadi. Why further destabilize a region already dangerously volatile?The generals and politicians who launched and prosecuted these wars are not about to take the blame for the quagmires they created. Washington empowered its nemesis. Strains between Turkey and the United States have only grown over the past year. The most conspicuous relevant act by the Trump administration was its assassination in January, with a drone-fired missile at the Baghdad airport, of Qassem Soleimani, one of the most prominent political and military figures in Iran.

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